CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: René Berendsen, LTC, Royal Netherlands Army, CSAG/CCJ5 & Ibrahim Elveren, MAJ, Turkish Army, CSAG/CCJ5 14 October 2022 Subject: Analysis of CENTCOM options regarding the OPEC+ decision to cut oil target by 2 million barrels per day (bpd), Oct 5, 2022. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of CENTCOM Read More >
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC Andrea ZANINI, ITA A, Action Officer, CSAG CCJ5 6 October 2022 Overview: In Iran, the administration of President Ebrahim Raisi continues its strive for regional diplomacy, as tensions with the West over its nuclear program continue to build up. The conservative president came to power in August 2021 with Read More >
By: LTC Jussi Puustinen, FIN Army, CSAG CCJ5 21 Jan 2022 Background: Russia has been very consistent about its messaging on the possibility of the re-establishment of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Actions (JCPOA). Russia is supporting narrative about Iran’s willingness to return to the nuclear deal. In this case, Russia uncommonly shares the views Read More >
By: LTC Arjen Wassink, NLD Army, CSAG CCJ5 29 Nov 2021 Introduction: The common perception of Iran’s threat is through its regional deployment and use of proxies, its tactical ballistic missiles, and the progressive enrichment of uranium to build a nuclear weapon. While it is possible that the US will return to the Joint Comprehensive Read More >
From 20 September to 24 September, the NESA Center conducted a weeklong Senior Executive Seminar on the proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) and the strategic implications for the NESA region. Dr. Gawdat Bahgat, Dr. Hassan Abbas, and Dr. Richard Russell moderated discussions with senior WMD experts from leading think tanks and NGOs, current Read More >
By NESA Professor Dr. Gawdat Bahgat 18 March 2021 In November 2020, only days before he was elected President of the United States, then-candidate Joseph Biden stated, “I will offer Tehran a credible path back to diplomacy. If Iran returns to strict compliance with the nuclear deal, the United States would rejoin the agreement as Read More >
Dr. Dania Koleilat Khatib, August 31 2020 No matter who wins the United States presidential election in November, Iran will remain a focal point for United States foreign policy. Whether the Trump Administration continues its maximum pressure policy or a new Biden Administration plans on a return to the JCPOA, a back channel for Read More >
NESA Professor, Dr. Gawdat Bahgat, June 9 2019 There is no doubt that the “maximum pressure” strategy is making life harder for the government of Tehran and the majority of Iranian people. Still, it is unlikely that the pressure will lead to a major policy shift. Read more from Dr. Bahgat’s published article here. The Read More >
Highlighting the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt, this paper studies the security policy implications of civil nuclear programs and assesses the prospects for indigenous nuclear industries and relationships with international suppliers. By NESA Professor Dr. Gawdat Bahgat and Professor Robert Mason (American University in Cairo) Read here. The views presented in this article Read More >
Since the early 1970s, Iran has sought to develop strong missile capabilities. In recent years, Tehran’s arsenal has evolved to become the largest and most diverse in the Middle East, though not the most lethal or longest-range. Israel and Saudi Arabia have also developed formidable capabilities. Iran’s program, however, has attracted more political and academic Read More >