CENTCOM Options Regarding OPEC Production Reduction Decision


By: René Berendsen, LTC, Royal Netherlands Army, CSAG/CCJ5 &
Ibrahim Elveren, MAJ, Turkish Army, CSAG/CCJ5

14 October 2022

Subject: Analysis of CENTCOM options regarding the OPEC+ decision to cut oil target by 2 million barrels per day (bpd), Oct 5, 2022.

Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of CENTCOM options regarding the US Administration’s Reaction to OPEC+ Limiting Daily Production Decision. The options in this paper are deliberately opposite to various contemporary perspectives on the issue.

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The opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of a number of international officers within the Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) and do not necessarily reflect the views of United States Central Command, not of the nations represented within the CSAG or any other governmental agency.