CSAG STRATEGY PAPER
By: CDR Hubert Mróz, POL Navy (CSAG/CCJ5)
15 August 2023
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has challenged established international norms and principles. The annexation of Crimea and subsequent full invasion of Ukraine violated Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, which are fundamental principles of international law. The conflict has tested the effectiveness of international institutions and other mechanisms to maintain peace and security. It has prompted actions dictated by the need for stronger enforcement of international norms and brought into sharp relief the role of major powers in upholding the international order. It is a significant turning point in relations between Russia and the West. The Russian invasion of Ukraine has had significant consequences, including the displacement of over six million people, destruction of infrastructure, cultural treasures, private homes, and industrial centers, and the pillaging of goods sent to Russia in an organized manner. The war has also impeded post-pandemic economic recovery for emerging and developing economies in the Europe and Central Asia region. Russia’s unjustified and unprovoked war against Ukraine has impacted energy and food markets. The invasion has raised concerns about international security and the balance of power in the Middle East.
- The Russian invasion of Ukraine may be considered as transformative for the international order.
- While Russia declares it is cutting ties with the “collective West,” it is seeking allies and international partners in the Global South.
- Russia’s strategic decisions have compelled China to reassess the international landscape and adapt its approach to achieving foreign policy objectives.
- The emergence of the Global South as a significant player on the world stage signifies a shift in the global order.
- The war in Ukraine has been a turning point for Russo-Iranian relations.
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The opinions and conclusions expressed herein are those of a number of international officers within the Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) and do not necessarily reflect the views of United States Central Command, not of the nations represented within the CSAG or any other governmental agency.