CSAG STRATEGY PAPER Identity withheld in accordance with partner nation agreement. (CSAG/CCJ5) 17 April 2024 Overview: Central Asia stands at a critical juncture, subject to influence by various global powers and regional actors. The strategic landscape is characterized by a delicate balance of interests, including those of the United States, Russia, China, and the Read More >
CENTCOM CSAG Papers
Reawakening Threats: The Reemergence of Islamic State Amid Global Distractions
CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: LTC René Berendsen, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5), Lt Col Richard Pecinka, CZE AF (CSAG/CCJ5), and MAJ Felix Badut, ROU Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 05 April 2024 Subject: “Reawakening Threats: The Reemergence of Islamic State Amid Global Distractions.” Purpose: This paper examines the reemergence of Islamic State (IS) in the Middle East. IS continues Read More >
CSAG Strategy Paper: Panacea for Gaza
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER COL Mohammed Sayed, Egyptian Army (CSAG/CCJ5), LTC Rene Berendsen, Royal Netherlands Army (CSAG/CCJ5), and CDR Hubert Mróz, Polish Navy (CSAG/CCJ5) 1 April 2024 Overview: The quest for stability in Gaza has long been a focal point of international attention, particularly in the context of the Israeli-Hamas conflict and the broader Palestinian Read More >
Yemen After the KSA-Iran Agreement: From Dreams to Harsh Reality and How This Fed Houthi Behavior in the Current Crisis
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: MAJ Felix Badut, ROMANIAN ARMY (CSAG/CCJ5) 20 February 2024 Overview: In 2014, Houthi rebels overtook Sanaa, the capital of Yemen, in a push for increased military and political power, starting Yemen’s long-lasting civil war. The chaos created by the Houthi insurgents jeopardized the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s (KSA) ambition for Read More >
Iran’s Elections, Wind of Change?
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC René Berendsen, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 02 February 2024 Overview: Shaped by the 1979 Iranian Revolution, the Iranian political landscape uniquely blends democratic and theocratic elements. The 12th parliamentary elections, the 6th Assembly of Experts elections on March 1, 2024, and the presidential elections in 2025 are playing pivotal roles Read More >
The Hamas – Israel Conflict: Forming A Potential “New Normal”
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC Kashif Ehtisham, Pakistan Army (CSAG/CCJ5);CDR Hubert Mroz, Poland Navy (CSAG/CCJ5); and MAJ Ibrahim Elveren, Turkish Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 29 January 2024 Overview: The Hamas attack on Israel on 7 October has affected not only the political and security dynamics in the ME region but also the world at large. This Read More >
Lebanon: A Potential Game Changer in the CENTCOM AOR
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC GIAMPIERO CURRADO, ITA Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 16 January 2024 Overview: Years of political instability in combination with an ongoing economic crisis — exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the explosion in the Port of Beirut in August 2020 — have brought the country close to collapse. Moreover, the current institutional vacuum Read More >
Sanctions on Russia and Economic Impact for Central Asia
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: Identity withheld in accordance with partner nation agreement. (CSAG/CCJ5) 8 December 2023 Overview: The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created a geopolitical challenge to the world order. The Russian attack violated not only Ukraine’s security and sovereignty, but also the rules-based international order and created a global economic, political and Read More >
Analyzing The Kashmir Conflict – Chinese Connection and Implications for the US
CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC Kashif Ehtisham, Pakistan Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 17 November 2023 Overview: The dispute between India and Pakistan over Kashmir has resulted in decades of hostility, including three wars. The Kashmir dispute is the oldest pending dispute on the agenda of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), which merits earnest world attention Read More >
ISIS Strategic Communication is Derailed
CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: LTC Junghyok Kim, KOR Army (CSAG/CCJ5) and MAJ Felix Badut, ROU Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 29 September 2023 Subject: ISIS Strategic Communication is Derailed. Purpose: An analysis of whether ISIS has changed its strategic communication (SC) messaging by purposefully decreasing its presence in mass media and social media, as a strategy, or Read More >