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Strategic Estimate 2021

By Combined Strategic Analysis Group – CCJ5-G – USCENTCOM May 2021 Introduction: USCENTCOM CCJ5 Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) produces a yearly, forward looking AOR Strategic Estimate for Commander USCENTCOM and staff. This Estimate is the 48th since 2003. The previous Estimate was released on 4 May 2020. The May 2021 Estimate is current as Read More >

Will a Major US Disengagement in the Middle East Lead to Conflicts Resulting in More Refugees and Migration?

By LTC Ali AL-Kaabi, UAE Air Force, US Central Command: Strategy Plans and Policy Directorate; Combined Strategic Analysis Group 07 May 2021 Introduction: Recent indicators stress a likely US gradual disengagement from CENTCOM’s area of responsibility. This likely US disengagement would affect key areas including national/regional security, the change in migration patterns, the affected countries’ Read More >

Fast-Paced Diplomatic Effort to Jump Start Afghanistan Peace Process

by NESA Professor Ali Jalali 15 March 2021 Amid a renewed global push to end the long conflict in Afghanistan, key regional powers show support for a US plan to accelerate regional cooperation, and invigorate intra-Afghan talks on a negotiated settlement in Afghanistan. This comes in response to U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s letter Read More >

Facilitating Stability in Afghanistan

By Lt Col Farhan Ali, Pakistan Army, US Central Command: Strategy Plans and Policy Directorate; Combined Strategic Analysis Group 3 Feb 2021 Introduction: Almost 20 years in, the Afghanistan war has entered a phase where the peace dividend outweighs the potential benefits of continued conflict. Major warring parties have reached a stalemate as NATO cannot Read More >

Political Trends in Pakistan and what to expect from the Kabul-Taliban Negotiations? A Conversation with South Asia scholar Dr. Marvin Weinbaum

In the seventh segment of the NESA Interview Series, Professor Hassan Abbas interviews Dr. Marvin G. Weinbaum, who is serving as the Director of Afghanistan and Pakistan Studies at the Middle East Institute. At the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, he is Professor Emeritus of political science. Dr. Weinbaum also served as an analyst for Read More >

South Asia Regional Dynamics with Dr. Arshi Saleem Hashmi

  18 October 2020 – In the fourth edition of the NESA Alumni Virtual Interview Series, Fahad Malaikah hosts Dr. Arshi Saleem Hashmi for a discussion on regional dynamics in South Asia, with a focus on Pakistan. Dr. Hashmi answered a broad range of questions, including how current regional dynamics in South Asia should be Read More >

Peace Process Dynamics in Afghanistan

NESA Distinguished Professor, Minister Ali Jalali, discusses the dynamics of the peace process in Afghanistan.  He covers three main points: 1). the road-map to the peace process; 2). the obstacles to the peace process; and 3). the prospects for a political settlement on the basis of the ‘Doha deal’ between the United States and the Read More >

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