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Syria Next

By: Matthew Wollen, F GS-13 USAF AFSOC OC/SPDP 14 June 2021   Introduction Throughout the decades following WWII, the U.S. was the dominant economic, political, and military influencer in the Middle East.  Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the UAE, Bahrain, Israel, Kuwait, Iraq, and Iran all benefitted from one form of U.S. assistance or another.  No other Read More >

Strategic Estimate 2021

By Combined Strategic Analysis Group – CCJ5-G – USCENTCOM May 2021 Introduction: USCENTCOM CCJ5 Combined Strategic Analysis Group (CSAG) produces a yearly, forward looking AOR Strategic Estimate for Commander USCENTCOM and staff. This Estimate is the 48th since 2003. The previous Estimate was released on 4 May 2020. The May 2021 Estimate is current as Read More >

From Warring Partner to Peace Broker – Impact of the New Administration’s Policy towards the War in Yemen

By: LtCol Michael von Normann, DEU A, CSAG Middle East Branch 02 Mar 2021 Introduction: In his first foreign policy speech on February 4, 2021, President Biden announced the US would end its support for the Saudi-led coalition’s offensive operations in Yemen. The new policy laid out by the President also included the suspension of Read More >

Executive Seminar: “Global Power Competition”

February 1-11, 2021 – Dr. Gawdat Bahgat led the Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies Executive Seminar on Global Power Competition (GPC). More than 80 foreign service and military officers from the United States and 26 other countries participated in the virtual seminar. To address this complex topic, the NESA Center brought in Read More >

China’s Territorial Ambition in Central Asia

  By MAJ Naoki Tajiri, Japan Ground Self-Defense Force, US Central Command: Strategy Plans and Policy Directorate; Combined Strategic Analysis Group 4 Feb 2021 Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has restarted China’s revisionism along with their ambition of territorial expansion and accelerated their long-term plans. After World War II, China advanced westward and invaded Tibet in Read More >

Russian New Historical Discourse

  By LTC Arto Hirvela, Finnish Army, US Central Command: Strategy Plans and Policy Directorate; Combined Strategic Analysis Group 19 Jan 2021 Introduction: The Russian regime (Putin especially) has made victory over Nazism a cornerstone of their national ideology and legitimacy. President Putin deems the collapse of the Soviet Union as the major geopolitical disaster Read More >

Great Power Competition within the NESA AOR

8 December 2020 – In the newest iteration of the NESA IOR Digital Series, NESA Professors Richard Russell, Brianne Todd, and Academic Dean Roger Kangas take a deep dive into how the concepts surrounding Great Power Competition apply to NESA’s Area of Responsibility (AOR). The final installment of the series for calendar-year 2020 was moderated, Read More >

Great Power Perceptions and the Middle East

8 October 2020 – In the newest iteration of the IOR digital series, Mr. Jeff Payne of NESA hosted a discussion on the perceptions of the MENA region states towards the major non-regional powers. Mr. Payne was joined by Jonathan Fulton of Zayed University and the Atlantic Council, Dr. Meena Singh Roy of the Manohar Read More >

Russia’s Stakes in the Indian Ocean Region

In the 14th iteration of NESA’s IOR Digital Series, Jeff Payne is joined by NESA’s Academic Dean, Dr. Roger Kangas, for a conversation on Russia’s stakes in the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) and how Russian strategic thinking will impact not only the Indian Ocean rim, but also the wider Eurasian area. The views presented in Read More >